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say the slow down in nonfarm payrolls will reflect the effect of sandy. joining us this hour is bank of america merrill lynch global research senior research economist michelle mire and we'll talk through everything that's been happening through jobs and what to expect. but first, there is a developing story. an earthquake off the northeast coast of japan triggered a tsunami warning. the warning has been lifted, but it was a 7.3 quake. so far no reports of any injuries or damage. it was for the same area devastated by an earthquake and tsunami back in march of last year. we will continue to bring you any developments. in the meantime, steve has some of the morning's top other stories. >> let's start with the markets. asian stocks rallying to 2012 highs overnight. the nikkei edging lower after hitting a se hitting hitting a seven month closing high yesterday. european trading, shares seem to be fwllat. bundesbank announced it had cut its growth outlook for the country. in the u.s., the nasdaq snapped its losing streak yesterday with its first gain in five days. the dow was on pace for
for hurricane sandy. the sold-out show lasted nearly six hours and was said to have reached an audience of two billion, with a b, people around the world. it was broadcast over tv, radio, internet, quite a night if you were lucky enough to have a ticket. i was actually at another charity dinner where they auctioned off tickets to this event with a car waiting outside and some very generous person spend $19,000 and bought the tickets. >> not that much. >> 19 you think is not? >> i thought there were tickets earlier that were going for more than that, also. >> it was an extraordinary concert for an extraordinary situation. and -- >> it will be interesting to see how much money -- >> we'll probably find out soon enough how much money was raised. >> 12-12-12. and we're all still here. >> someone told me at 12:-12-12 and at 12:12, i called penelope. i wanted to be on the phone for that moment. i thought it was very row mant ek. you didn't do that. >> i didn't. >> it's really not 100 years. it's 88 years. was she laughing about that? >> she was. >> she's a big viewer. so she knew 100 years, you coul
important jobs report of the century. this is a squirrelly one in part because we have the sandy effect in there and i think joe's right, there is going to be to an extent a sandy effect in there. i just want to show you first the claims chart. this is the chart we've been putting up every week since hurricane sandy came through and the pattern of sandy jobless claims relative to katrina. if we don't have that chart -- there it is, great. it goes up and now we're in the down. it may pop back. but the trouble is that the big surge there is probably in the week of -- or is going to affect the week of the employment survey. >> the last week. >> and now, guys, if you have the next one back there, i don't know if you have it, you can see there what we show there is we're looking for only 80,000 jobs on friday. 95 in the private sector. that's a big jobs -- it might be hurricane related, but it could also be cliff related. there's these two things just backing up what joe said, folks, we've got enough to worry about without the stuff that we could probably fix and move on, there's enough goin
here, sandy was terrible. that will subtract from growth. we also have the little twinkie strike which is something that everybody's worried about, so that will subtract. so when you net all those things out, you'll probably get a number closer to 90,000. but when you net those things out, you know in future months you'll get more growth. 2 pch 2.7, a lot was inventory based. so economic growth probably gets weaker. but as the rebuilding takes prar place, the strike resolved, no jobs no doubt. >> so in the meantime we go back above 8%? >> i think there's a chance that you can touch 8%, but i think you'll stay somewhere near the 8% range. >> if you had to make a prediction like i did, i had to make a prediction for where unemployment would be a year from now. i said somewhere in the 7s. >> i think by the end of next year you'll get a near somewhere in the neighborhood of 7.4, 7.5. still in the 7s. because again, we are going to glow next year something close to 2% and probably a little bit below that. that's not consistent with a huge deceleration of the unemployment rate. >> unless the
is still being stunted by the election results, and the effects of superstorm sandy. joining us with the latest on that, bill dunkleberg, chief economist at the national federation of independent business. bill, in reading your findings, am i wrong to say you found that it really wasn't sandy, that it was the election results, and if that's true, how do we give -- can we give the president the benefit of the doubt in that maybe it just, the election results means that the cliff is front and center? the cliff would not have been front and center with romney because he would have probably just extended all the bush tax cuts, i think. so is it the election result that's causing this? and is it the president himself? or the gridlock that it's causing with republicans? >> i think you basically have it right. we spent billions of dollars and then woke up the day after the election and nothing had changed and i think that's the issue. because the management team couldn't reach agreement on how to deal with the problem that was coming up, so we were stuck with the same kind of managemen
of that is sandy. you can't disentangle it. i'm sure it would have been better if it weren't for the uncertainty. we saw how bad it was in the summer of '11 and it will be the same now. >> i very much agree with ian on this point, that the uncertainty is associated with the fiscal cliff is at least a percentage point on the fourth quarter. and could be more than that. it's just a lurking weight on the business sector. and if we are going to get this growth, i think we've got to have a little bit more certainty on taxes, on regulation, and the trajectory of fiscal policy going forward. >> what i hear you both saying, though, and you're talking about spending issue, and not worrying so much about that, but i also hear you saying it would be a big mistake to raise taxes. >> absolutely. yeah. >> but the top 2%, is that the least deleterious people to raise it on? >> yeah, it would be. but right now i'd prefer not to raise taxes on anybody. but if you're going to do it, then the people at the lowest propensity to consume -- >> you don't buy that small businesses fall under that? >> no, most small bus
Search Results 0 to 5 of about 6